Joe Biden overturned the critical state of the North as several other key battlegrounds remained too close to be called Even before a winner was declared in Wisconsin, the Trump campaign said that ‘she would call for a recount Senator Susan Collins of Maine has been re-elected, dampening Democratic hopes of gaining control of the Senate

The road to 270: here is the state of play in the states which could decide on the presidency

Biden’s team says he is ‘on track to win’ as Trump campaign predicts wins in Arizona and Pennsylvania

Democrats’ hopes of an explosion in New York fade as incumbents and candidates fall to Republicans

The indecisive presidential election entered a new phase on Wednesday as former Vice President Joseph R Biden Jr was declared the winner of the key swing state of Wisconsin The Trump campaign, lagging behind in several Key states too close to call, said she will seek a recount in Wisconsin, and has taken legal action to stop the vote count in Michigan, which could further delay when a winner can be declared

The Trump campaign’s call for a recount in Wisconsin – a state President Trump won by a small margin four years ago – has come as its path to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the re-election was narrowing Wednesday afternoon, M Biden had weak prospects in several key states which, if they did, could propel him to the critical threshold of the electoral college and to the presidency

The lingering uncertainty of the 2020 campaign was perhaps not surprising in an election with record turnout where most of the ballots were cast before election day, but many were unable to be counted only after

Mr. Trump’s chances of winning a second term depended on his ability to carry more undecided states, including several Great Lakes battlefield states he won in 2016 where Mr. Biden now has leads

While millions of votes have yet to be counted in several key states – there’s a reason news agencies and other generally impatient actors have been waiting to declare the winners – M Biden held a narrow lead in Arizona, Nevada and Michigan Si M Biden can hold all of those states, the former vice president could win the election even without Pennsylvania, which has long been considered a must-see battleground state

“We feel good where we are”, M Biden told shaken supporters early Wednesday morning “I’m here to tell you tonight that we think we’re on track to win this election. I’m optimistic about this outcome”

Even before the start of the Wisconsin race, the Trump campaign said it would require a recount.Under Wisconsin law, a recount can be requested if the margin between the top two candidates is less than 1%

/ p>

Bill Stepien, M Trump’s campaign manager said in a statement that “the president is well within the threshold to call for a recount and we will do it immediately”

And M Stepien claimed that the Trump campaign did not have “meaningful access” to several counting locations in Michigan, and that it had brought an action in the Michigan Claims Court to suspend the count until access is granted He said that M Trump was “determined to ensure that all legal votes are counted in Michigan and everywhere else,” language that suggested the campaign could challenge the legality of some ballots

A source of M Biden’s resilience lies in the nature of the votes that remain to be counted Many are mail-in ballots, which favors him because the Democratic Party has spent months promoting the vote submission message in advance, while that M Trump encouraged his constituents to turn out on election day And in Michigan and Pennsylvania many of the countless votes come from populated urban and suburban areas that tend to vote heavily for Democrats

Even in Pennsylvania, where M Trump had taken an impressive lead of around 8 percentage points on Wednesday afternoon, M Biden had a plausible chance to catch up The Pennsylvania Secretary of State said there were more than 4 million mail-in ballots yet to be counted, and those votes should strongly favor Mr. Biden

Mr. Trump held the lead in North Carolina and Georgia, and his campaign expressed hope that his first lead in Pennsylvania could withstand an influx of mail-in ballots for Mr. Biden Then, if M Trump was able to take over the lead of M Biden in Arizona or Nevada, who became a Democrat in recent elections, he would have his way to a second term

Early Wednesday, M Trump declared victory prematurely and said he would ask the Supreme Court to ask for a stop in the tally Mr. Biden urged his supporters – and by implication, Mr. Trump – be patient and allow the process to unfold

Joseph R Biden Jr defeated President Trump in Wisconsin, toppling a state President Trump narrowly won in 2016, according to the Associated Press

With more than 98% of the votes counted, M Biden had 1,630,389 votes and M Trump 1,609,879, a margin of over 20,000 votes, or 06 percentage points

But under Wisconsin law, a recount can be requested if the margin between the top contenders is less than 1% and Mr. Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien said before the race even started that the campaign would ‘do it immediately’

“The president is well within threshold to demand a recount,” Mr. Stepien said Wednesday afternoon

Anyone who requests the recount will have to pay for it unless the margin is less than a quarter of 1 percent

Mr. Biden’s narrow advantage in Wisconsin came after several major cities in the state – including Milwaukee, Green Bay and Kenosha – reported the results of their postal votes on Wednesday morning

The Biden campaign has maintained a strong focus on Wisconsin after the state was one of three crucial Great Lakes states the party lost four years ago It was a key part of the campaign’s hope to forge a direct path to 270 electoral votes

During his campaign, Mr. Biden has made three visits to the state, which was scheduled to host the Democratic National Convention before it became a fully virtual event due to the coronavirus pandemic, which is currently worse in Wisconsin than any other field state. battle He maintained a steady lead in the polls heading into election day

In 2016, M Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win Wisconsin since 1984, narrowly defeating Hillary Clinton in a state with a large population of white working-class Democrats

Wisconsin saw a wave of coronavirus infections this fall as voters prepared to go to the polls The state was also upset this year after Kenosha became the scene of unrest and protests against the shooting of Jacob Blake by the police

Here is the state of play in seven battlefield states at 2:45 p.m. Wednesday EST

Election votes: 11Biden leads Trump, 51, 0 percent to 476%, with 86% of estimated vote in Keep in mind: Turnout estimates show around 310,000 votes are still to be counted in counties won by Trump in 2016, and only 70,000 in counties that Clinton won But Biden gets ahead of Trump in Maricopa, the state’s most populous county, which Trump won in 2016 Trump must win nearly two-thirds of the remaining votes to capture the state Officials said they expected to finish to count the ballots today

Election votes: 16 Trump leads Biden, 503 to 485%, with 93% of the estimated vote in Keep in mind: Most of the votes that have yet to be counted are in DeKalb County and other counties in suburban Atlanta that have heavily beaten Biden Mr. Biden would need nearly two-thirds of the remaining votes to carry the state Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said in a television interview that he expected the tally to be done by the end of the day

Election votes: 16Biden leads Trump, 495 percent to 488 percent, with 94 percent of the estimated vote in Keep in mind: nearly a quarter of the vote in Wayne County, a Democratic stronghold that includes Detroit , has yet to be counted, and Biden was closing the gap in Kent County, which includes Grand Rapids, with more than 15% of the votes outstanding The Secretary of State said last night she expected to have “a very clear picture, if not a final picture” of the results by this evening

Election Votes: 6Biden leads 49-year-old Trump3 to 487 percent, with 86 percent of estimated vote in Keep in mind: All Election Day votes have been counted, and only the ballots remain late and provisional votes with a democratic tendency Secretary of State says next update will arrive around 12 p.m. Eastern Time Thursday

Election Votes: 15 Trump leads Biden, 50, 1 percent to 487 percent, with 95 percent of estimated vote in Keep in mind: with most votes now tabulated, Biden is expected to win around two-thirds of the rest to get ahead

Election Votes: 20 Trump leads Biden, 53, 3 percent to 454 percent, with 80 percent of the estimated vote in Keep in mind: Analysis from The Times’s Upshot reveals that the remaining vote appears to be overwhelmingly for Biden According to turnout estimates, more than twice as many votes to count in counties won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 than in counties won by Trump

Populated counties where the bulk of the votes are yet to be counted include Philadelphia, where Biden leads by over 50 percentage points, and Allegheny, which Biden leads by around 10 points and which includes Pittsburgh

Biden must win more than two-thirds of the remaining votes to win the state Officials said they expected most votes to be counted by Friday

Election votes: 10Biden was declared the winner, 494 percent to 488 percent, margin of 06 percentage points Keep in mind: Wisconsin law allows for a recount when the lead candidate’s margin is less than one for cent, and the Trump campaign has said it will ask for one

The Biden and Trump campaigns offered dueling visions of the aftermath of the election on Wednesday morning, with the former vice president’s team projecting their confidence in a victory that seemed close at hand – and Mr. Trump’s team suggests it will surpass expectations one last time once all “legal ballots” are counted

“Joe Biden is on track to win this election, and he will be the next President of the United States,” Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, Joseph R Biden Jr’s campaign manager, said during a briefing with journalists on Wednesday morning, even as the two candidates remain deadlocked in the bottom 200 in terms of electoral votes

Mrs O’Malley Dillon stated that M Biden was due to address the country later today, but did not reveal what he plans to say

She said campaign officials believed they had “already won” Wisconsin and expected to take Nevada, Michigan and Pennsylvania She acknowledged that North Carolina was “really tight” and was leaning towards President Trump, but said the outcome may not be determined for several days.

During a call with journalists, Mr. Trump’s team offered a different picture of the race – dependent, in fact, on the careful counting of ballots despite repeated attempts by the president to discredit the process

Mr. Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien said the campaign was aimed at calling for a recount in Wisconsin He also predicted that Arizona, which was leaning toward Mr. Biden with around 14% of the vote counted, would end up in the Trump column once all the votes are counted

Wisconsin law says that a recount can be requested if the margin between the top two candidates is less than 1% Anyone requesting the recount will have to pay for it unless the margin is less than a quarter of 1 for cent Monsieur Biden’s current lead is less than 1%

“If we count all the legal ballots, the president wins,” said Mr. Stepien, who predicted razor thin victories in Nevada and Pennsylvania, his words suggesting they were planning to challenge the legality of some bumper ballots

Despite M With Stepien’s confident stance, officials privately admitted Trump’s path to victory seemed very narrow on Wednesday and hinged on keeping Arizona in play

Mr. Trump, for his part, saw the count of absentees and early ballots – which by Wednesday morning had toppled Wisconsin and Michigan in favor of Mr. Biden – with disdain and long sought to undermine the legitimacy of a process that has been in place for years and overseen by officials on both sides

Bob Bauer, a former White House attorney for President Barack Obama who helps lead the Biden campaign’s election protection efforts, warned Democrats were ready to fight any legal challenges Republicans might lobby in the states where M Biden is a little ahead

“Wherever they go and however they go about it, we have lawyers ready to go, papers ready to go, within an hour of hearing the measures they have taken, “he told reporters on Wednesday.

Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine emerged victorious Wednesday in her bid for a fifth term, fending off an avalanche of Democratic money and liberal anger in the toughest race of her career to defeat Sara Gideon , a Democrat, and strengthen her party’s grip on the Senate

The Associated Press started the race for Ms Collins with around 75 percent of the total votes and Ms Collins leading Ms Gideon by over six percentage points, 498 percent to 434 percent

Ms Collins said she received a ‘very kind call’ from Ms Gideon conceding the race

Ms Collins’ victory dashed Democratic hopes for a crucial recovery as their ambitions for a Senate takeover hung by a thread

If Joseph R Biden Jr wins the presidency, Democrats must win three seats to regain control of the Senate, which Republicans have held since 2015 If President Trump is re-elected, Democrats must win four seats

So far, Democrats have reversed two seats and Republicans have reversed one, for Democrats’ net gain of one seat Three races for Republican-held seats where Democrats were supposed to have a chance have yet to be called, and Republicans held an advantage in two of them

The Collins-Gideon race was the costliest in Maine history, with national donors flooding the state with tens of millions of dollars and a wave of negative publicity The battle for control of the Senate seemed out of reach for Democrats

Democrats won a crucial seat in Arizona on Wednesday morning, with Mark Kelly, a former astronaut, defeating Senator Martha McSally and former Governor John Hickenlooper defeating Senator Cory Gardner on Tuesday night in the high profile fight for Colorado Senate seat These victories were critical to Democrats’ efforts to win a majority in the Senate

In Georgia, Rev Dr Raphael G Warnock, a Democrat, qualified for a run-off against Senator Kelly Loeffler, the outgoing Republican The Other Race in the State, between Jon Ossoff, the challenger Democrat, and Senator David Perdue, a Republican, was too close to call

But Republicans across the country have managed to fend off well-funded challengers in a number of key races. In Montana, Sen. Steve Daines defeated Gov Steve Bullock and in Iowa, Sen. Joni Ernst defeated Theresa Greenfield, a businesswoman who introduced herself as a ‘rambling farm kid’ Senator Lindsey Graham, a Republican, clung to her seat in South Carolina, fending off the toughest challenge of her career politics of Jaime Harrison, a black Democrat whose upstart campaign electrified progressives across the country and inspired a record-breaking election cash assault

Texas Republican Senator John Cornyn also defeated a challenge from MJ Hegar, a former Air Force pilot who hoped Democrats might have an outward chance of winning in a rapidly changing state In Kentucky, Majority Leader Sen. Mitch McConnell was easily re-elected, defeating Amy McGrath, a Democrat who struggled to gain traction despite a surge of financial support from her party supporters in across the country

Republicans successfully oust Senator Doug Jones, Democrat of Alabama, who came to power in a 2017 special election against Roy S Moore, who was charged with sexual assault and prosecuting teenage girls

Democrats were at risk of losing another seat in Michigan, where incumbent Democratic President Gary Peters was in a neck-and-neck race with his Republican challenger John James

Republican Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina won Wednesday afternoon over Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham in a seat that strategists from both parties have identified as a possible tipping point, but the news agencies did not declare a winner and M Cunningham did not concede

Republican lawyers and Trump campaign officials on Wednesday launched a sweeping legal attack to challenge Democratic votes in major swing states, as part of a long-telegraphed post-election campaign to claim victory over Joseph R Biden Jr with the help of the courts

As of noon on Wednesday, the Trump campaign said it was continuing to count postal ballots in Michigan over what it called insufficient transparency in the process

“President Trump’s campaign did not have meaningful access to many counting locations to observe the opening of the ballots and the counting process as guaranteed by Michigan law,” Bill said Stepien, President Trump’s campaign manager

Separately, the Trump campaign has said it will call for a recount of the vote in Wisconsin, even before the race is called Mr. Biden was named the winner there Wednesday afternoon by the Associated Press, by a margin of more than 20,000 votes, or 06 percentage points

In press briefings and interviews, campaign aides based their legal arguments on a claim that they were simply seeking to ensure that no vote counts that shouldn’t count, rather than repeating the president’s morning claims that all counting should have come to a halt on election day, when early and incomplete results showed him a leg up in some battlefield states, which will help determine the winner of the Electoral College

“If we count all the legal ballots, the president wins,” Mr. Stepien said on a morning conference call with reporters

The statement was in line with the campaign’s legal strategy to challenge votes which it said should not have been counted under state election laws, some of which are already being challenged

Earlier in the morning, M Trump had come out of the White House return observation to say, “We will go to the US Supreme Court We want all votes to stop,” a crude interpretation of his campaign’s legal position that was legally meaningless. and which drew bipartisan criticism

Already on Wednesday, the Trump and Biden campaigns were in Pennsylvania courts, pushing for double lawsuits to invalidate provisional and corrected ballots by citizens who were told before the polls closed that problems with their postal votes had caused them to be rejected by election officials

Trump campaign officials have also indicated they are considering more lawsuits in Arizona and Nevada, where the Trump campaign is already pushing to protest the counting process in the state’s largest county

Biden’s campaign officials said they had prepared contingency and legal documents for any challenges the president and his allies might bring. “We are ready for any effort Republicans make in any one of these states, “said Bob Bauer, senior advisor to Mr. Biden campaign

He called the legal stance of the Biden campaign more defensive than attacking, referring to ever-changing tally that, at that point, showed Mr. Biden with tracks in Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona and that, if they held up, would deliver M Biden the White House

The position marked a key difference from when the nation was last in a similar context, in Florida in 2000. In this case, Al Gore, the Democrat, was behind in returns and was described by the Republicans as seeking to wrest victory from George W Bush – a position which enabled M Gore at a disadvantage throughout the legal battles that followed

With the count being incomplete and continuous across the country, the dynamics could change at any time But by early Wednesday afternoon it was M Trump campaign who was able to challenge a potentially losing outcome

The Trump campaign has indicated that it is prepared for a long legal war of attrition in a fundraising appeal it sent to supporters after the polls closed, asking for money so that it can “FIGHT” the Democrats the campaign claimed without evidence trying to “steal” the election

The president’s legal tab promised to be high When Green Party candidate Jill Stein forced a recount in Wisconsin in 2016, for example, she received a state bill for $ 35 million

While there have been countless election cases filed across the country, it’s unclear which of them could reach the Supreme Court in the coming days

But a candidate is already on the roll Last month, the court declined to bring a case in Pennsylvania – where the state’s highest court extended the deadline for receiving ballots by three days – but three judges indicated that the court could come back to it later if necessary

If the Pennsylvania vote has the potential to determine the electoral college outcome, and if those late ballots have the potential to tip the state – big two if – the US Supreme Court may well intercede

At the end of last month, judges refused a plea from Republicans to speed up the decision on whether the Pennsylvania Supreme Court acted legally by ordering a three-day extension for the ballots clearly posted on the day of the poll or before, and for ballots with missing or illegible postmarks “unless a preponderance of evidence shows that it was mailed after polling day”

The judges’ refusal came just over a week after the court’s deadlock, 4 to 4, following an emergency request in the case on Oct 19

Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel A Alito Jr, Neil M Gorsuch and Brett M Kavanaugh said they would have granted a stay blocking the Pennsylvania Supreme Court decision On the other side was Chief Justice John G Roberts Jr and the liberal wing of three Court members: Judges Stephen G Breyer, Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan

Judge Amy Coney Barrett, who joined the court on October 27, was not involved in the decision not to speed up the case

Judge Alito, joined by Judges Thomas and Gorsuch, criticized the handling of the case by his court, which he said had “unnecessarily created conditions that could lead to serious post-election problems”

“It would be highly desirable to render a decision on the constitutionality of the state Supreme Court’s decision before the election,” wrote Justice Alito “This issue is of national importance and it is highly likely that the decision of the State Supreme Court violates the Federal Constitution”

But there was not enough time, he writes Yet Judge Alito left little doubt about his position on the issue in the case

Pennsylvania officials have asked county election officials to separate ballots arriving after 8 p.m. on polling day until 5 p.m. on Friday.This would in practice allow a Supreme Court ruling to determine whether they were finally counted

New York Democrats who hoped to capitalize on anti-Trump sentiment and win multiple congressional seats across the state received sobering news this week, with two first-term Democratic congressmen at risk to lose and candidates far behind in three other neighborhoods that the party had hoped to overthrow

Millions of postal ballots still go unchecked, and statewide remains a Democratic stronghold – the party has performed well as expected in urban areas with high Democratic representation

/ p>

But the results, especially in the suburbs, seemed to validate the message of Republican candidates who campaigned for “law and order” and who linked Democrats to progressive radicalism and efforts to disband the police

The results showed a growing political divide between New York City and other urban areas and the rest of the state, and they also reflected a return to Republicans after Democrats made inroads into swing neighborhoods in 2018

In a swinging neighborhood encompassing Staten Island and parts of Brooklyn, Nicole Malliotakis, a Republican state lawmaker endorsed by President Trump, led Representative Max Rose, a first-term Democrat, by around 37,000 votes While she had already given a victory speech, M Rose did not concede and around 52,000 missing ballots still need to be counted

In central New York, Claudia Tenney, a former Republican MP and close ally of Mr. Trump, was leading against Anthony Brindisi, a moderate Democrat who beat Ms Tenney in 2018 in a close upset

And on Long Island, Andrew Garbarino, a Republican, declared victory over Jackie Gordon, a veteran of the Army Reserve, in a race to replace Rep. Peter King, the 14-term MP who was taking his retirement

Lee Zeldin, a Republican stationed on Long Island, had a considerable lead over Nancy Goroff, chemist and professor at Stony Brook University

Long Island Democrat Thomas Suozzi narrowly lost to Republican private equity leader George Santos

Despite all the criticism that Facebook, Twitter and YouTube suffered for failing to tackle misinformation in the 2016 election, their response this time around on Election Day has been largely harmonious

Social platforms have said they will not allow a political candidate to make misleading statements about the outcome of a race Thus, when President Trump falsely claimed on Twitter and Facebook early Wednesday that the election was stolen, companies tagged her post to indicate that it was disputed and that there was no winner yet

Facebook also added a notification at the top of the News Feeds to indicate that there was no official election result after Mr. Trump spoke Wednesday morning from the White House declaring himself the winner

“What we saw on Election Day from companies was that they were extremely responsive and faster than ever,” said Graham Brookie, Chief Digital Officer Atlantic Council Forensic Research Lab “Outside of the unknowns, the platforms were proactive and prepared for the inevitable – which was misinformation about Donald Trump’s election results.”

But the biggest tests for Facebook, Twitter and YouTube could still be looming, disinformation researchers say Votes are still being counted and the outcome of the presidential race remains uncertain, creating a situation that presents plenty of opportunities for false narratives, they said.

Already on Wednesday morning, Twitter put a tag on a post from Ben Wikler, leader of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, who prematurely claimed that Joseph R Biden Jr had won in the state The company also added a tag to a new tweet from M Trump, in which he claimed his first leads in democratic states “began to magically disappear” Twitter also prevented the post from being shared by other users

“While votes are still counted across the country, our teams continue to take coercive action on tweets that prematurely declare victory or contain misleading information about the elections at large,” a spokesperson said. Twitter word in a press release

A federal judge on Wednesday threatened to call on Postmaster General Louis DeJoy to appear before him, expressing frustration at the postal service’s slow response to the sweeping of postal facilities on Election Day for undelivered ballots

“The postmaster will either have to be removed or appear before me,” said District of Columbia Judge Emmet G Sullivan, as he continued to monitor the agency’s voting performance, which can be counted for days after election in many states

“I’m not happy with this eleventh hour development last night Someone may have a price to pay for it”

On Tuesday, Judge Sullivan ordered inspectors to sweep facilities in 12 districts after the Postal Service told the court that some 300,000 ballots he received had not been scanned for delivery He said he was particularly concerned with the delivery of ballots to major rotating districts with low on-time delivery scores, including central Pennsylvania, Philadelphia and Detroit.

The judge gave the agency up to 3 p.m. to complete the scans, but the Postal Service said it would take up to 8 p.m. to get the job done without disrupting the processing of a flood of ballots on polling day

As of Wednesday morning, the Postal Service had completed the sweeps, and they had found only a “relative handful of ballots” – about 12 or 13, according to a US attorney for the Department of Justice , Joseph Borson, who represents the postal service

The judge’s dramatic order on Election Day came as record numbers of Americans voted by mail this year, with voters eager to avoid crowds at the polls during the pandemic – and at the end of the ‘an election season marked by fears of the postal service changes and cuts under M DeJoy, a person named by Trump, had caused significant mail delays that could jeopardize the ballots

“Why were there still late ballots yesterday?” Shankar Duraiswamy, senior counsel for the nonprofit coalition Vote Forward, which is suing the Postal Service to try to ensure all ballots are delivered, asked during Wednesday’s hearing

He said the court should now focus on sending ballots to the 21 states across the country that accept canceled ballots before or before polling day in the days following the election

Mr. Duraiswamy also asked the Postal Service to investigate a report he said he received about delayed “ballot boxes” in Greensboro, NC

About 300,000 ballots the Postal Service says it processed showed no scans confirming delivery to counting sites, according to data recently filed in federal court in Washington, DC, leaving voter rights advocates concerned

Postal officials said just because a ballot never received a final scan before it was sent out for delivery, doesn’t mean it hasn’t been delivered. Ballots for final processing can sometimes be missing ballots that are stuck or have stained barcodes And hand-sorted ballots usually do not receive a final scan prior to delivery

The Postal Service also allowed expedited delivery of ballots that forgo the normal process, but voting rights advocates were concerned that without a scan verifying that the ballots had been sent for delivery, some could be sitting without counting in various postal facilities across the country

The Postal Service said on Wednesday morning that the agency was carrying out daily searches of all of its facilities to find ballots that might slip through the cracks

In Australia and Indonesia, crowds gathered around televisions in restaurants and cafes, trying to catch a glimpse of US states turning red or blue In Iran, the hashtag #Elections_America was all the rage on Persian Twitter, while in Japan, Fuji Television spent a good chunk of Wednesday morning covering the election with graphics that mixed old-fashioned cardboard cutouts with video game-like avatars

All around the world, as the results spread across the US electoral map, it resulted in a puzzling and fascinating drama to watch The issues are global, as are the public, glued to the kind of media coverage on more often reserved for elections closer to home

“It’s a bit like the World Cup final,” said Moch Faisal Karim, professor of international relations at Binus University in Indonesia.

The intense global interest reflects America’s still considerable power and the unpredictability that has shaped the past four years President Trump has been a chief global disruptor, seeking to redefine relations with American allies in Europe and Asia, working to soften China’s rise to power and draw closer to autocrats in North Korea and Russia

After surprise after surprise in his first term, much of the world desperately needs to know whether the Trump era will continue or whether the United States will return to the more traditional path that Joseph R Biden Jr. has promised

/ p>

But while many viewers would have liked nothing more than a quick resolution, there was instead uncertainty and angst.First there were the quadrennial refresher courses on the complicated American approach to electing a president, and then as the votes rolled in, the hours of waiting, as news websites and TV stations filled in the maps of the 50 states and the familiar sliding tables to the Americans

People around the world have found themselves making difficult calculations in the Electoral College, while trying to keep up with the patchwork of counting procedures all over the United States. They tried to make sense of the images of barricaded stores in the face of the potential for violence and, like Americans, they wondered what voters would decide and what each candidate would say to the world.

“The biggest problem for me is how deeply divided the United States continues to be,” said Geoff Raby, former Australian ambassador to China, who admitted he had watched television all over the place. Wednesday day “People just couldn’t change their stance – it was split four years ago, and Trump fell over the line and not much has changed”

Republican women scored critical victories for their party in the election, signaling the success of the party’s efforts to recruit and elect a more diverse slate of candidates to counter the Democrats’ huge advantage by adding women to their ranks in the Congress

On battlefields across the country, conservative women have marked upheavals for House Republicans, with Ashley Hinson, a former state lawmaker and TV reporter ousting Representative Abby Finkenauer from the Iowa; Nancy Mace, the first woman to graduate from the Citadel, defeating Rep. Joe Cunningham of South Carolina; and Yvette Herrell, a former state legislator, toppling Representative Xochitl Torres Small’s seat in New Mexico

These victories came as Republicans fought to protect the titular women in the Senate, where Joni Ernst of Iowa and Susan Collins of Maine prevailed in their competitive races and Kelly Loeffler qualified for a second round in Georgia As of Wednesday morning, the Democrats had defeated only one Republican woman in the Senate, Martha McSally of Arizona, who was set to lose

In previous cycles House Republicans had failed to recruit and elect female candidates In 2018, as Democrats wrested control of the House from a diverse class of candidates, only one new Republican woman was elected to the chamber This sparked a scramble from party leaders to steal a page from the Democratic recruiting handbook, eschewing the kind of candidates they had previously turned to – white, male, often veteran politics – in favor of new political arrivals from various backgrounds

These efforts appeared to be paying off, as Republicans reclaimed a number of seats they lost in 2018, and partial returns have shown women leading Democratic incumbents in other competitive districts, like in Staten Island, where was the representative Max Rose from New York fight to hold Nicole Malliotakis

“We have reversed seats mostly with women and minority candidates,” Parker Hamilton Poling, executive director of the House Republicans’ campaign arm, wrote on Twitter Wednesday morning. “I would call it a pretty good night”

President Trump’s argument on Wednesday morning – that he had won an election in which millions of valid votes remained to be counted – was a blatant misrepresentation of the electoral process

No state has ever reported the final results on election night, no state is legally expected to do so, and if the Supreme Court were to force states to stop counting ballots just because midnight Tuesday has passed – like M Trump said he would ask judges to do so – it would be an extraordinary subversion of the democratic process that would deprive millions of voters who cast valid and on-time ballots

There is nothing new or unusual about the extended vote count In 2008 it took Missouri two weeks to call John McCain In 2012 it took Florida four days to call Barack Obama There was no dispute over the legitimacy of these results; it just took a while to finish counting the votes

In fact, one of the M Trump’s own dear wins in Michigan in 2016 were only confirmed after two weeks of counting

Americans are used to knowing who won the presidency on election night because news agencies project winners on the basis of partial counts, not because the full count is over so quickly Because so many people voted by mail this year in response to the coronavirus pandemic, it takes longer in some states to make accurate projections But the final and official results will come exactly when they always will: according to the certification deadlines set by each State, ranging from two days after election in Delaware to more than a month after in California

Mr. Trump sought in his White House speech, just as he and his campaign sought in the weeks leading up to election day, to confuse two separate things: voting after election day and the counting of the ballots after polling day

“We want all votes to stop,” he said, but it already is; no votes are currently cast What Mr. Trump suggests that states do not count ballots already cast

The bald political nature of his speech was clear in the contradiction between his comments on Arizona, where Mr. Trump is lagging behind, and his comments on Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where he has the illusion of big leads, as large numbers of votes cast from Democratic-leaning areas like Detroit, Philadelphia and Milwaukee, n have not yet been counted

He complained that Fox News called Arizona for Joseph R Biden Jr when many votes were still pending Then in the next breath he suggested he had definitely won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin despite the much larger number of votes still pending

House Democrats are set to retain their majority, but faced a series of punches early Tuesday night as Democrats in rural districts faced headwinds and outgoing Republicans from districts of the suburbs held firm

House Democrats appeared to be strong in most of the competitive districts they ripped off in 2018 and started the night confidently predicting they would broaden their majority, citing polls that showed a dismal national environment for Republicans and a revolt of the wealthy, Suburban voters in the traditional conservative strongholds that invade the Midwestern country of Texas In the final days of the race, Republican strategists had privately predicted to lose anywhere from a handful of seats at 20 and focused their efforts on making up for their losses in largely rural and white working-class districts

But early returns didn’t seem to reflect the magnitude of the losses strategists from both parties anticipated in the final days of the race, as a number of incumbent Republican suburban districts – which Democrats had hoped for take – have retained their seats, and like some incumbent Democrats who won in 2018 in districts where President Trump is popular have been defeated

In the Midwest, Representatives Ann Wagner of Missouri, Don Bacon of Nebraska and Rodney Davis of Illinois all retained their seats in districts where Democrats believed they could win.

In Iowa Rep. Abby Finkenauer, a Democrat representing the northeastern part of the state, lost to Ashley Hinson, a former state lawmaker and television reporter Representative Joe Cunningham, Democrat of South Carolina, also lost in a race against Nancy Mace, the first woman to graduate from Citadel

With Mr Trump making significant inroads with Cuban Americans in the Miami area, Democrats have received a double surprise, Reps Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala, a former Secretary of Health and Human Services , both conceding their races early in the night in their neighboring districts

President Trump was declared the winner in Florida after making a remarkable 2016 turnaround in the Miami area, wooing conservative Cuban-American voters and other Latino groups in sufficient numbers to defeat Joseph R Biden Jr Mediocre earnings with White Floridians

This is a big time, but not a huge one, for his re-election hopes, mainly because it would have been nearly impossible for him to reclaim the White House without again capturing the 29 votes of that state’s constituency

Four years ago, M Trump lost the Miami-Dade area by nearly 30 percentage points to Hillary Clinton By the end of Tuesday, that margin had shrunk to around eight percentage points with M Biden at the top of the ticket – with M Trump’s total votes in this critical area fell from 334,000 in 2016 to around 500,000 this year

Mr. Biden spent significantly more time and resources wooing black voters, and he didn’t start investing heavily in a major Latino outreach operation until late in the campaign. He had hoped he would get close to Mrs. The Clinton benchmark, while siphoning off votes from Mr. Trump among disillusioned suburban whites and older voters

If M Biden could take any consolation from the loss, it was the fact that he slightly outperformed Ms. Clinton in the county that includes Jacksonville, defeating M Trump there, as he topped his performance in Tampa and its suburbs, again by a small amount

But if it was too early to draw definitive conclusions about other states, one thing is clear: Mr. Biden had focused, since his appointment, on attracting white voters in the Midwest and elsewhere He spent less time and resources educating Latino voters

Florida has been a heartbreaking state for Democrats since George W Bush narrowly beat Al Gore there in 2000 after a partial recount and Supreme Court intervention which effectively handed the election to Mr. Bush

Polls had shown the race to be very close – many showing M Biden with a lead – but Democrats were scarcely confident until dark, given the proximity of the polls

As the results arrived on Tuesday night, a feeling of déjà vu came with them It seems the pre-election polls were once again misleading

As the country awaits final results from Michigan, Pennsylvania and a few other states, it’s already clear – no matter who ends up winning – that the industry hasn’t fully considered the missteps that led her to underestimate President Trump’s support four years ago

The failures beg the question whether the polling industry, which has become a national fixture in the age of data journalism and statistical forecasting, can survive another crisis of confidence

“I want to see all the results,” said Christopher Borick, director of polls at Muhlenberg College in Pa., in an interview. “I want to see where those gaps are from the pre-election polls and the final margins. But there are ample evidence that there were major problems again How deep they are, we will see “

In some states where many polls had projected M Trump is narrowly losing – like Ohio, Iowa and Florida – he had already been declared the winner on Wednesday morning And in states that seemed more than likely to opt for M Biden, like Michigan and Nevada, the results were too close to be announced as official counts poured in (In one of those states, Wisconsin, M Biden was declared the winner on Wednesday afternoon, by 06 percentage points)

Considering the ballots that were counted, it is now clear that there was an overestimation of M Biden’s support at all levels, especially with white voters and men, and as polls predicted an elimination of M Trump among white voters 65 and over, who never fully took shape

Partly because of this, Mr. Biden underperformed his expectations not only in polyglot states like Florida, but in very white suburban areas like Macomb County, Michigan, where he was widely expected to be successful

Dr Borick pointed out that while state-level polls largely failed in 2016, the same generally did not happen in the 2018 midterm elections. This led him to conclude that Mr. Trump was a complicating factor

“At the end of the day, like so many things about Trump, there can be different rules,” he said, “I am a quantifiable type of human being; I want to see evidence And I only have two elections with Donald Trump – but both seem to behave in a way that others don’t. “

Not all pollsters got bad results Ann Selzer, long regarded as one of the country’s top pollsters, published a poll with the Des Moines Register days before the election showing M Trump opens seven-point lead in Iowa; which seems to match the actual result so far

And inevitably, Robert Cahaly and his mysterious Trafalgar Group – which projected a bunch of close races to the battlefields – will get another look from curious commentators wondering why he was so close to correctness, both in 2016 and this year

The company was among the only pollsters to show M Trump’s strength in the Midwest and Pennsylvania four years ago, and while his polls this fall may end up looking a little red, he seems to have put horse racing in many states closer to other pollsters, in not giving short shrift to M Trump’s strengths

2020 Election Update

Global News – US – Election Highlights: As Biden Wins Wisconsin, Team Trump Seeks Recount

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/11/04/us/trump-biden-election