Odds from Sunday evening and via DraftKings Get a sign-up bonus of 1 today$ 000 at DraftKings or check out more deals and reviews for the best online sports betting

The festive season of the Premier League sadly comes to an end on Monday as Liverpool travel to England’s south coast to face Southampton The Reds need a win to keep up with close rivals in the Leicester, Spurs, Man City and Man table United who all won over the weekend

A look at the underlying numbers suggests that Liverpool in 2020 is only marginally worse than their historic 2019-20 title campaign, however, the Reds’ last two games are a perfect example of why they are nowhere near their total score from last season achieve

Against West Brom and Newcastle, the Reds outdid their opponents on the expected goals, dominating possession and creating enough chances to win the game. But a little bit of bad luck after the goal, great goalkeepers and mediocre finish resulted in a 1-1 draw

Expected goals (also known as xG) is an expanded statistic that provides information on whether the results are based on sustainable factors such as the constant creation of goal chances or whether it is aspects such as luck or excellent goalkeepers

There are areas where the Reds are not quite as good at – they are not as dominant in the first 30 minutes of games, they concede a much higher xG per shot which in the long run can result in more goals than your goalkeeping game not at the elite level, and the loss of Virgil van Dijk hurt them in set pieces. Overall, however, Liverpool’s xG difference per 90 is only about a tenth of a goal per 90 worse

Even so, the market overrated them here still Liverpool struggled if they had to push or get pushed Southampton should be able to impose their style on Liverpool and make this an urgent game and holes in the Reds’ makeshift backline to stab

The Saints have fallen off the table in the past few weeks and haven’t won the last four games Southampton has been a high-flyer of xG for a while in the Premier League, carried by an excellent finish – especially from outside the box

Southampton have only scored one goal in their last four games and the pressure has eased slightly in the past few weeks as games pile up over the holiday season The Saints have the fifth worst xGF in the PL and have tried to create opportunities

But there are a few reasons to buy cheap here. Their defenses have legitimately improved over the season, allowing one or less xGAs in each of the last five games

Saints still have the second highest pressure intensity in the league, and Liverpool’s line of defense was nowhere near as effective in pressure resistance as it was last season

I’m making Liverpool -120 in this game and will try to keep playing them outside of Anfield in future games. While the Reds come first in the xG differential at home this year, they top up in xGD / 90 the street ninth place

I think Southampton keeps this so close, even if they lose I don’t see them getting blown out

Copyright 2021 © Action Network Inc, All Rights ReservedPrivacy Policy | Terms of Use | AdChoices

DISCLAIMER: This website is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not include real money bets

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, call 1-800 GAMBLER This service is for adult users only

Southampton – Liverpool

World news – FI – Liverpool vs Southampton: Saints can hang out with the reds on Monday

Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/premier-league-odds-picks-predictions-southampton-vs-liverpool-monday-jan-4