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Liverpool will host Leicester City on Sunday in a clash between two top 4 clubs dealing with injuries I will do my best to thwart this matchup thoughtfully but it’s imperative for weather to get the starting line-ups check before placing bets

With that in mind, this should be a high quality football game, and I’m excited to see who will prevail

Expected goals (also known as xG) is an expanded statistic that provides information on whether the results are based on sustainable factors such as the constant creation of goal chances or whether it is aspects such as luck or excellent goalkeepers

The Reds started the year on really strong under the circumstances. Their squad is riddled with injuries

Virgil Van Dijk and Joe Gomez are now on the long term Jordan Henderson, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Mo Salah are on the road on Sunday Thiago Alcantara and Fabinho sound like decisions about the season

I think Liverpool can survive without Salah Diogo Jota, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane are still dominant front-three who can take a lot of opportunities

The bigger concern will be in midfield. With Joel Matip, Fabinho and Thiago playing, I would feel a lot more confident supporting Liverpool

Injuries aside, Liverpool still leads the league with 1.8 non-punishable expected goals (npxG) per game and third place allowed in npxG at 097 per game This defensive form could decline without Alexander-Arnold and Gomez but Andy Robertson, Matip and Fabinho are anything but a disaster when the latter two are fit

What a start for the Foxes this season you are currently in third place and would come back to first place with a surprise on Sunday in Anfield

Leicester has dealt with some injuries too They will be back without Caglar Soyuncu, Ricardo Pereira and Wilfried Ndidi Wesley Fofana and Timothy Castagne also deal with injuries It sounds like the latter two should try but Leicester is anything but healthy

If Leicester can line up a front-three with James Maddison, Youri Tielemans and Jamie Vardy, they should be a handful for Liverpool’s exhausted defense

While they’re at the top of the table the advanced metrics aren’t good for the Foxes Leicester created 173 xG / game but they only generate 097 npxG / game which is double the difference between Liverpool’s xG and npxG point blank: Leicester’s production has gotten well off the penalty spot this season, with some of it down to Jamie Vardy’s talents, but in the long run that calls out for regression

Leicester’s defense was solid, allowing a respectable 116 xGA per match.Brendan Rodgers did a great job building this team for success, but they will stop being so penalized when they get to a top-4 Want to fight place

As I said in the intro this is a difficult game to predict due to the injuries I am confident that Liverpool’s front three will create enough scoring opportunities, but this game could boil down to who plays for the Reds in the middle p>

If either Thiago or Fabinho start or are available I would support the Reds. Leicester’s penalty luck will decline, and I would have to see more shot creation to support them at this point

I expect both teams to score points here, so I’ll play the total of three goals on the alternative number at minus 117 odds

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Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/premier-league-odds-picks-predictions-leicester-city-vs-liverpool-sunday-nov-22